LATEST NEWS
Real Estate Foresight Updates, Media Coverage, Conferences
China Housing: Real Estate Foresight Price and Volume Forecast vs Actual (July 2019)
China Housing: the price and volume growth figures have been in line with our March based forecast (chart below, with the latest July data). The aggregates are only a starting point though – more localized policies, changes in composition and ‘rotation’ of cities driving growth, caveats in Chinese indices and averages… should be important considerations[…]
Robert Ciemniak speaking at Beryl-GTCOM Greater China Alternative Investments Conference In Beijing
Last week in Beijing at Beryl-GTCOM Greater China Alternative Investments Conference. Sharing insights from Robotic Online Intelligence on information filtering, predictive analytics and the role of AI in supporting the packaging of info for domain-specific human analyst consumption, real cases from the real estate sector with Real Estate Foresight.
Robert Ciemniak presenting at HSBC GEM Investors Forum In New York
Robert Ciemniak, Founder-CEO of Real Estate Foresight, presented at HSBC Global Emerging Markets Investors Forum on June 11, “How should investors think about the Chinese property sector and associated risks? And Where Did The Winter Go?”.
Robert Ciemniak Presenting At HSBC’s 6th Annual China Conference
Robert Ciemniak, Founder-CEO of Real Estate Foresight, presented at HSBC’s 6th Annual China Conference in Shenzhen last week, exploring data-driven perspectives on China housing markets, at the heart of the Greater Bay Area.
Introducing BAYWATCH – Actionable Data Analysis On GBA Housing Markets
With the GBA blueprint release on February 18, 2019, and the rising interest in the GBA, Real Estate Foresight (REF) is introducing ’Baywatch’ as the new research report, with an in-depth focus on the 9 mainland cities in the GBA. Our goal is to provide the most comprehensive and independent data-driven analysis of the housing[…]
Robert Ciemniak To Deliver Guest Talk At ANREV Annual General Meeting 2019
Robert Ciemniak delivering a guest presentation “China Housing – Cities Without Tiers” at the ANREV Annual General Meeting 2019 on May 10 in HK. Details: https://lnkd.in/fwWNnjJ
MioTech Article on REF: How Data Is Changing The Real Estate Game
Looking back at our past predictions at Real Estate Foresight, and how data and analytics can empower human decision making in China housing markets. Data doesn’t need to be perfect to be highly valuable when augmenting human expertise. Thanks to MioTech, the leading AI venture in financial analysis in Asia, for interviewing Real Estate Foresight[…]
Introducing Greater Bay Area (GBA) Intelligence
The interest in the Guangdong – Hong Kong – Macau Greater Bay Area (GBA) has been on the rise since the release of the official blueprint on February 18. Real Estate Foresight with the sister venture Robotic Online Intelligence are pleased to announce the launch of GBA Intelligence – a set of daily scans of news and announcements (‘robo-reports’) from[…]
Robert Ciemniak on PERE Tech Panel Discussion
Robert Ciemniak was on the PERE Tech panel earlier this morning “The role of technology across the real estate investment spectrum” with Or Hiltch from Skyline AI and Bill Lee from Gaw Capital Partners, moderated by Leo Lo from Asia PropTech. With the rising interest in the application of technology to the real estate sector[…]
Robo-Reports In Action On Greater Bay Area
Our AI / robo-analysts in their daily scan of the latest local news and announcements in China’s Greater Bay Area (GBA) filter out the most relevant headlines for real estate markets, picking up first-hand intel such the recent news on some banks in Shenzhen lowering the mortgage rates reducing the premium over benchmark from x1.2[…]
Robert Ciemniak Moderating PERE Asia 2019 Tech Panel
Some practical insights and a reality check on proptech and all things tech for real estate on our panel earlier today at PERE Asia in Hong Kong – with Bernie Devine from Yardi and Sung Lee from Altus. Focus on solving a real business problem. Day to day operations efficiency rather than fancy-sounding tech. Automated valuation[…]
Robert Ciemniak on CGTN commenting on China home sales slowdown
Commenting on China housing on CGTN: the weekly data for 14 major cities suggests a sharper 30% sales decline over the weeks around the Chinese New Year vs a year ago, though the full 2018 was a record high in commodity housing sales at a national level. Video Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HAKvTzrhZVo
REF Analysis On GBA Featured in South China Morning Post
Real Estate Foresight’s analysis of land acquisitions (residential and mixed-use) in the Greater Bay Area by major developers featured in SCMP today: https://www.scmp.com/business/article/2186844/property-giants-including-china-vanke-country-garden-splash-out-us16
Greater Bay Area
You may have read already that the official outline of the development plan for the Guangdong – Hong Kong – Macau Greater Bay Area (GBA) was finally been published earlier today (the source read in CN). We have been building the data, analytics and our robotic intelligence systems to support clients’ interest in GBA. QUICK HIGHLIGHT: WHERE[…]
Cities Without Tiers: Greater Bay Area vs Others
China Cities Without Tiers: The Greater Bay Area cities as a group enjoy the highest house price levels compared to other major groups of cities (see the chart on the left), even though the price growth has slowed down most since the policy tightening started in 2016 (chart on the right). The traditional breakdown of[…]
48 Forecasts For China House Prices In 2019…
Here are 48 forecasts by the participants of our 7th annual conference yesterday, in one artful form, predicting the monthly movements in the year-on-year growth for the China house price index for 100 cities. Quite a range of views…
From Our 7th Annual China Property Outlook Conference
From our 7th annual China Property Outlook seminar by Real Estate Foresight, held yesterday in Hong Kong. Delighted to see 60+ attendees, ranging from foreign institutional investors to Chinese developers. The overall sentiment for China residential market in 2019 more negative (from the high base), but with highly diverse views among participants, with no lack[…]
Media news coverage of China: 2017 vs 2018
Here’s an interesting comparison of the most frequently used words in the major Western media headlines covering China in 2017 vs 2018, based on around 30,000 headlines we have monitored. The words highlighted in red in the wordcloud on the left were in the top 20 in 2017 but not in the top 20 in[…]
At the Singapore Fintech Festival
We were at the Singapore Fintech Festival Nov 12-14, 2018. Turned out to be probably the largest fintech event in the world. Exhibitors mainly in payments and banking, compliance and security, blockchain but data and analytics ventures also quite well represented.
The 4th Annual ‘China Districts’ Report By Real Estate Foresight Predicts Future Hotspots In The Housing Markets
Here are the highlights from the 4th Annual ‘China Districts’ Report By Real Estate Foresight: — Jintang County in Chengdu, Xinzhou County in Wuhan, and Huangpu District in Guangzhou are the top picks — Analysis based on price and volume performance metrics across 170 districts in 20 major cities in China — In hindsight: predictions made a year ago have[…]
Property Developers
From the in-depth project market due diligence to strategy development and city selection models, REF supports clients in more data- and analytics-driven decisions – in the market that is no longer ‘easy money’ for developers, with high land prices, more competition and discerning buyers
Request a Sample / Demo
Private Equity Real Estate Investors, Funds, Lenders
Independent and fast assessment of opportunities and underwriting assumptions, extensive and ongoing market research, and support for investor communications, help clients through all stages of the China investments
Request a Sample / Demo
High Yield, Long/ Short, Event Driven Funds, Investors
Investors in securities can gain the edge through a much finer, granular view on what’s really happening in the (often misunderstood) China housing market and its sub-segments, related data, and in how to interpret the latest events
Request a Sample / Demo
Global Macro
Deep insights into the China housing market inform the persistent macro questions about ‘the bubble’ and ‘the systemic risk’ in China, with the economic significance of the sector, impact on the commodities markets, its ties to shadow banking, local government debt and policy makers sensitivity to the sector
Request a Sample / Demo
China Property
MACRO VIEW
With flagship China Property reports and private briefings, we help clients form a view, identify turning points in the market, and provide clients with extensive analysis of latest data, qualitative and policy factors
CityScreener
CITIES & DISTRICTS
With CityScreener™ reports, we help clients identify opportunity areas and support clients in top-down multi-criteria city selection and assessment and monitoring of exposure, based on relative attractiveness of cities
Quantiviable
ANALYZE ONLINE
With QuantiviableTM we provide clients with an online analytics companion – an interactive charting tool that uses our ranking-data for evaluating relative attractiveness of districts, developers or cities on multiple criteria
CITY INSIGHTS
CITY REPORTS
With City Reports, we help clients gain quick and practical insights into housing prices and sales volumes dynamics, inventory, land sales, new starts, at a city and district level for major cities.
Due Diligence
DEEP DIVE
Through in-depth market studies, we support clients in due diligence and strategic project decisions, providing an independent assessment rigorously grounded in a combination of data-driven primary and secondary research
PROJECT SALES
PROJECT ANALYSIS
With Project Detail Analytics, we help clients monitor sales at a project level, collecting, crunching and visualizing the data in an innovative way.
How are we different?
We apply advanced data analytics tools and combine data science and technology with on-the-ground research, with a track record in accurately forecasting the Chinese housing markets.
On-The-Ground Research
Technology solutions and skills we have developed enable us to provide clients with unique insights by capturing and analyzing larger volumes of data as well as making sense of extensive qualitative content.
Thanks to collaboration with data partners, especially Beijing-based SouFun - China Index Academy, we are able to build our proprietary analytics on top of private raw data.
At the same time, thanks to our specialization and focus on China property markets, we stay very close to the market talk and engage with wide range of market participants on a daily basis, which gives us first-hand insights into what is going on. Our founder Robert Ciemniak is a frequent speaker, moderator and panelist at key industry events on China.
Track record
… with house price forecasts, city selection, due diligence market studies
Technology & Analytics
… driven, working with small and big data and proprietary tools
Data Partners
… include SouFun-China Index Academy in Beijing
Independence & Specialization
… independent from brokerage, fund raising, securities trading, and focused on China real estate markets
Core team
We work through our core team of analysts / data scientists and software engineers, with support from our network of experts.
Robert Ciemniak
Erica Chung
Gavin Li
Andrew Ness
David Schlesinger
Lijun (Isabel) Cao
Jan Skopecek
Patrick Lecomte
Dipyaman Sanyal
