Robert Ciemniak Speaking At HSBC 3rd Annual Asia Credit Conference

As bonds issued by Chinese property developers make up a large share of the global high-yield universe, the significance of the Chinese housing markets goes far and beyond their local nature. Robert Ciemniak presented and joined the panel “The Forces Shaping China’s Property Sector” at HSBC 3rd Annual Asia Credit Conference in Hong Kong on September[…]

Video: Robert Ciemniak Speaking At Beryl-GTCOM Greater China Alternative Investments Conference in Beijing

Panel on digitization and technology disruption at the Beryl-GTCOM Greater China Alternative Investments Conference in Beijing. Robert’s 6 minutes on the case of China real estate – the scale and significance of the housing markets, surprising data transparency, what drives interest in data and analytics, our experience with data driven predictions, and the value of[…]

China Housing: Real Estate Foresight Price and Volume Forecast vs Actual (July 2019)

China Housing: the price and volume growth figures have been in line with our March based forecast (chart below, with the latest July data). The aggregates are only a starting point though – more localized policies, changes in composition and ‘rotation’ of cities driving growth, caveats in Chinese indices and averages… should be important considerations[…]

REF Analysis On GBA Featured in South China Morning Post

Real Estate Foresight’s analysis of land acquisitions (residential and mixed-use) in the Greater Bay Area by major developers featured in SCMP today: https://www.scmp.com/business/article/2186844/property-giants-including-china-vanke-country-garden-splash-out-us16

The 4th Annual ‘China Districts’ Report By Real Estate Foresight Predicts Future Hotspots In The Housing Markets

Here are the highlights from the 4th Annual ‘China Districts’ Report By Real Estate Foresight: — Jintang County in Chengdu, Xinzhou County in Wuhan, and Huangpu District in Guangzhou are the top picks — Analysis based on price and volume performance metrics across 170 districts in 20 major cities in China — In hindsight: predictions made a year ago have[…]

2018 Forecast

Real Estate Foresight has published the 2018 Forecast for China housing markets, now the 5th year of our annual forecasts. Our main scenario is a gradual slowdown in the y/y price growth, with sales volumes slowing further but proving more resilient. Watch the land supply as the key factor for 2018, and the ‘city rotation’[…]