China housing is not one market, but it is not 600 different markets either. There are some clear patterns in how some cities behave similarly in their direction of the house price growth, and some exhibit very unique behaviour. A finer understanding of these patterns can help investors better assess the risk in city selection strategies[…]
Robert Ciemniak, the Founder-CEO of Real Estate Foresight, will chair again the PERE Investor Forum: Shanghai, this year on June 28th. One of the hot topics in 2018: opportunities in co-working and co-living sectors – against the backdrop of the richly priced traditional commercial sectors, policy cooling measures and push for the development of the[…]
There have been a number of reports about the hot property market in Dandong, a Chinese city on the border with North Korea. Here’s Real Estate Foresight’s dynamic view of the house price growth momentum in the city over time, monthly from January 2015 to April 2018, showing the city’s improving performance. We calculate the[…]
We are expanding the depth of data analysis in our monthly City Reports on major Chinese cities, largely thanks to the automation of research and production that is proving to save huge amounts of time, the benefit we can pass on to clients.
This heatmap from Real Estate Foresight illustrates the patterns of the year-on-year house price growth in China for each of the major 70 cities (each little row) and overall across these cities, between January 2011 and February 2018, using the monthly price index data from the National Bureau of Statistics, including the latest for February,[…]
On March 7, Robert Ciemniak, the Founder-CEO of Real Estate Foresight, chaired the first day of the 11th PERE Asia Summit in Hong Kong. 500 attendees from around 30 countries over two days. How interesting that the technology impact on real estate gets more and more prominent in the discussions at such key industry events[…]
“Are safe havens always preferable to higher risk places?”. This was the panel discussion moderated the other week by Robert Ciemniak, the Founder-CEO of Real Estate Foresight, at the 11th PERE Asia Summit in Hong Kong. As the rich pricing in the gateway cities continues to direct investors’ interest (though not necessarily action, as the[…]
An interesting piece in NYT on China and the AI race. Another major development was the 3-year Action Plan released by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China in mid-December, to develop the AI industries in China over the period 2018-2020 ài (愛): “to love; to be fond of; to like; affection; to[…]
Real Estate Foresight has published the 2018 Forecast for China housing markets, now the 5th year of our annual forecasts. Our main scenario is a gradual slowdown in the y/y price growth, with sales volumes slowing further but proving more resilient. Watch the land supply as the key factor for 2018, and the ‘city rotation’[…]
In January, we held our 6th annual China Property Outlook seminar by Real Estate Foresight in Hong Kong. Big thanks to Baker McKenzie for hosting the event, and to the guest speakers including Warut Promboon蔡善其 (Bondcritic), Dr Jim Walker (Asianomics), Rico Chan (Baker McKenzie) and David Schlesinger (Tripod Advisors).