China ULTRA – Urban Long Term Rental Apartments: Primer on Rental Housing

A potentially massive change is underway in the housing markets in China. The great policy push by the government from the very top since mid-2017, and the bottom-up need driven by affordability problems and changing mindsets have taken the rental housing market centre stage in the China property sector. Yet has anyone really figured out how to[…]

Western Media Sentiment On China

How’s the sentiment on China in major Western media? Real Estate Foresight’s sentiment index (see the chart) shows clearly a deteriorating trend. Interestingly, the patterns of index movements in blue line below relate quite closely to the changes in the Shanghai Stock Exchange stock index – the red line. The index is based on the[…]

Takeaways from the Shanghai conference, chaired by Robert Ciemniak

On June 28 in Shanghai, Robert Ciemniak, the Founder-CEO of Real Estate Foresight, chaired the annual ‘PERE Investor Forum: Shanghai’, a gathering of 100 or so players in the private equity real estate sector focused on China. Quite a different market landscape from a year ago. Less outbound and more inbound interest, with much tighter[…]

In Pursuit of Patterns: The Most Idiosyncratic Cities In China

China housing is not one market, but it is not 600 different markets either. There are some clear patterns in how some cities behave similarly in their direction of the house price growth, and some exhibit very unique behaviour. A finer understanding of these patterns can help investors better assess the risk in city selection strategies[…]

Chairing PERE Investor Forum: Shanghai on June 28th

Robert Ciemniak, the Founder-CEO of Real Estate Foresight, will chair again the PERE Investor Forum: Shanghai, this year on June 28th. One of the hot topics in 2018: opportunities in co-working and co-living sectors – against the backdrop of the richly priced traditional commercial sectors, policy cooling measures and push for the development of the[…]

Booming Housing Markets in China on the Boarder with North Korea?

There have been a number of reports about the hot property market in Dandong, a Chinese city on the border with North Korea. Here’s Real Estate Foresight’s dynamic view of the house price growth momentum in the city over time, monthly from January 2015 to April 2018, showing the city’s improving performance. We calculate the[…]